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Earnings deep dive · Synthesis edition · Memory & Storage · Tier M

Team Group Q3 2026: Bits Came Back, Margin Hit 49.27%. The Cash Is Still on a DDR4 Shelf.

Team Group's third-quarter revenue rose 33.61% to NT$10.14B, faster than DRAM contract prices, so it sold more bits as well as dearer ones, and gross margin rose to 49.27%. The cash stayed on the shelf: inventory NT$17.24B, mostly DDR4 by count, and nine-month operating cash flow −NT$1.74B. Our call is that the shelf sells in the fourth quarter: October–December revenue at least NT$12.17B; below NT$10.14B refutes it.
Published · Post-print analysis · Team Group Inc. (十銓科技) · TWSE: 4967 · Q3 2026, three months ended , reported ; investor conference · Committed analyst read — not advice

The setup

Team Group's third-quarter revenue rose 33.61% to NT$10.14B against DRAM contract steps of about 20% to 24%, so for the first time this year the company sold more bits as well as dearer ones, and gross margin rose to 49.27%. The cash did not come with it: inventory grew faster than sales, to NT$17.24B, and nine-month operating cash flow was −NT$1.74B against NT$8.32B of net profit. Our call is that the shelf turns into revenue in the fourth quarter: October–December revenue, the last of it filed by , reaches at least NT$12.17B, September's run-rate held for three months; below NT$10.14B, no growth on the quarter, refutes it.

Team Group (十銓科技, 4967.TW) released its third-quarter statements on and held its investor conference on . Revenue was NT$10.14B (~US$311.1M at ~32.59 NT$/US$, approximate), up 143.53% on the year and 33.61% on the quarter. Gross profit was NT$5.00B (~US$153.3M), a 49.27% margin, against 42.77% in the second quarter and 13.28% a year ago. Operating profit was NT$4.51B (~US$138.4M), a 44.50% margin. Net profit was NT$3.62B (~US$111.0M), up 49.96% on the quarter and 1,712.24% on the year, and basic EPS was NT$37.19 (~US$1.14); diluted EPS was NT$33.90. For the nine months, revenue was NT$26.77B (~US$821.5M) and EPS NT$90.95, more than nine times the par value of a share.

In August we read the second quarter as a company that held its material and let revenue fall 16.10% while prices rose: margin harvested from inventory, not volume won in the channel. The third quarter answers that read, and mostly against it. Revenue rose faster than the contract price, and the company's own monthly filings for July and August name both causes, shipments and price. What did not change is the shape of the balance sheet. Inventory is 3.35 times a quarter's cost of sales, up from 1.22 times a year ago. Income tax payable, NT$2.72B, is now 98.3% of the cash on hand. And 60.09% of the DRAM on the shelf, by quantity, is DDR4, the generation the big three are shutting down, while DDR4 was 11.61% of nine-month DRAM sales. That last pair is the most interesting number in the filing, and Connecting the dots works through it.

Team Group Q3 2026 Income Statement Three months to · NT$ millions Revenue NT$10,139.1M +143.53% Y/Y NT$10,139.1M +143.53% Y/Y DRAM, flash and other memory products B2B 64.60% of nine-month revenue Gross profit NT$4,995.5M 49.3% margin from 42.8% in Q2 Cost of revenue (NT$5,143.5M) 50.7% of revenue Operating profit NT$4,511.5M 44.5% margin from 40.5% in Q2 Operating expenses (NT$484.1M) Net profit NT$3,617.6M 35.7% margin EPS NT$37.19 Income tax (NT$907.9M) 20.1% of pre-tax profit Finance costs (NT$34.8M) Other gains, interest & income NT$48.8M Selling (NT$289.2M) 2.9% of revenue G&A (NT$142.1M) R&D (NT$46.9M) Credit-loss provision (NT$5.9M) Source: Team Group (4967.TW) Q3 2026 consolidated income statement, TWSE MOPS · chart: tkal.news
Of NT$10.14B of third-quarter revenue, NT$5.14B is cost of sales, leaving a 49.27% gross margin against 42.77% in the second quarter. Operating expenses take NT$484.1M, 4.77% of revenue, and income tax NT$907.9M; net profit is NT$3.62B, all of it the parent's. Other gains, interest & income = other gains and losses, net 41.1 + interest income 6.4 + other income 1.3. Finance costs are shown below operating profit as filed.

The numbers

Revenue
NT$10.14B
+143.53% Y/Y · +33.61% Q/Q
Gross margin
49.27%
from 42.77% in Q2
Net profit
NT$3.62B
EPS NT$37.19 · +49.96% Q/Q
Inventory
NT$17.24B
3.35x a quarter's cost of sales
Op cash flow, 9M
−NT$1.74B
against NT$8.32B net profit
Tax payable
NT$2.72B
98.3% of cash

Team Group Q3 2026 · NT$ billions unless stated

LineQ3 26Q2 26Q3 25Y/Y
Sales
Revenue10.147.594.16+143.53%
Gross margin49.27%42.77%13.28%
Operating expenses, % of revenue4.77%2.27%7.21%
Profit
Operating profit4.513.070.25
Net profit3.622.410.20+1,712.24%
Basic EPS (NT$)37.1926.472.35
Cash and balance sheet
Operating cash flow2.85(0.60)1.41
Inventory17.2414.114.39+292.49%
Receivables6.785.841.97
Cash2.760.982.26
Bank debt & notes1.905.781.19
Convertible bonds2.71——
Equity16.0511.144.03

Source: Team Group consolidated statements for Q3 2026, Q2 2026 and Q3 2025, TWSE MOPS (TIFRS, unaudited, reviewed); quarterly operating cash flow derived from cumulative statements. Notes ↓

One piece of context before the argument. The tax line is large because the profit is new. The quarter's income tax expense was NT$907.9M, 20.06% of pre-tax profit, and the nine months' NT$2.14B (~US$65.8M) has almost all been accrued rather than paid: cash taxes were NT$79.4M. Taiwan settles the year's corporate tax with the annual return in May.

The company's own account of the quarter is price plus customers. CEO Chen Ching-wen (陳慶文), promoted from general manager with the results, said at the conference that margin rose on selling prices and a shift toward "high-margin, technically demanding" customers in AI servers, edge AI and industrial computing, in our translation. The deck puts numbers on the shift: business customers (B2B) were 64.60% of nine-month revenue, against 24.60% a year earlier, and DRAM was 83.63%, with DDR5 at 87.93% of DRAM sales. Management said it is "confident" about gross margin from here and gave no figure. Decode: the margin story has changed owners. A year ago Team Group was a gaming-memory brand selling through retail; today two-thirds of its revenue goes to server, networking and industrial-PC customers on contract, and those customers are the ones paying the shortage price.

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The rest of this dive is for paid subscribers.

The headline numbers are above. The 11 sections below carry the mechanism, the peer read, the valuation work, and the dated tests that decide it.

  • Seven quarters: the level before the delta
  • Price first, then bits
  • The shelf
  • The cash, the payables and the May bill
  • Connecting the dots
  • The December bar
  • Valuation
  • The strongest case against this read
  • What we'd watch
  • Grading the August calls
  • Bottom line
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Sources